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Tech Mahindra: ICICI Securities recommends a “BUY”

Tech Mahindra: Navigating Towards a Promising Turnaround

Tech Mahindra is on the cusp of a promising transformation under the leadership of its new CEO, Mr. Mohit Joshi, who has embarked on an ambitious journey to enhance the company’s performance. ICICI Securities recommends a “BUY” rating with a target price of Rs 1,552, based on a structural re-rating of the stock. Here are the key insights from the latest analysis:

Key Highlights of Tech Mahindra:

  1. EBIT Margin Improvement: The focus of Tech Mahindra’s new CEO, Mr. Mohit Joshi, is on improving EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) margins, and this is expected to be a relatively achievable goal in the short term. Mr. Joshi has initiated key changes, including the appointment of Mr. Atul Soneja as COO and an internal reshuffle, to drive this improvement.
  2. Top-Line Revival: While EBIT margin enhancement is seen as a low-hanging fruit, the revival of the company’s top-line growth may take some time. Mr. Joshi’s strategic initiatives are anticipated to strengthen Tech Mahindra’s capabilities and fill gaps in non-communication verticals, ultimately reflecting in increased deal wins and market share expansion.
  3. Valuation Rethink: Tech Mahindra’s valuation appears stretched based on consensus estimates, with P/E (Price-to-Earnings) ratios of 19x/17x for FY25/26 EPS. However, the potential for a structural re-rating is on the horizon if Mr. Joshi’s strategies yield positive results.

Outlook:

  • Tech Mahindra’s valuation currently stands at 19x/17x for FY25/26 EPS, which might seem stretched according to consensus estimates. However, the stock has the potential for a structural re-rating if the new management’s initiatives come to fruition.
  • ICICI Securities is ahead of the street with estimates that are 7%/16% higher than consensus on FY25/26 EPS. The target price for Tech Mahindra is set at INR 1,552, implying approximately 20% potential upside. This marks an upgrade from the previous “SELL” rating to a “BUY.”

Summary:

Tech Mahindra is poised for a significant turnaround under the guidance of its new CEO, Mr. Mohit Joshi. While the immediate focus is on improving EBIT margins, the company’s long-term strategy includes enhancing capabilities and expanding market share in non-communication verticals. This strategic shift has the potential to lead to a structural re-rating of the stock, making it an attractive opportunity for investors.

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Manoj Singh

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